Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.003337 0.003500 0.003667 0.003850 0.004046 0.004249 0.004476
2025-06-08 0.003031 0.003271 0.003526 0.003819 0.004145 0.004499 0.004915
2025-06-15 0.002813 0.003093 0.003398 0.003757 0.004170 0.004633 0.005194
2025-06-22 0.002648 0.002955 0.003296 0.003706 0.004189 0.004744 0.005437
2025-06-29 0.002543 0.002874 0.003249 0.003708 0.004261 0.004911 0.005743
2025-07-06 0.002391 0.002728 0.003116 0.003599 0.004190 0.004898 0.005823
2025-07-13 0.002316 0.002670 0.003082 0.003602 0.004250 0.005042 0.006100
2025-07-20 0.002275 0.002648 0.003088 0.003652 0.004368 0.005259 0.006476
2025-07-27 0.002197 0.002577 0.003031 0.003620 0.004378 0.005337 0.006672
2025-08-03 0.002130 0.002517 0.002983 0.003597 0.004397 0.005424 0.006881
2025-08-10 0.002066 0.002459 0.002936 0.003570 0.004408 0.005501 0.007077
2025-08-17 0.002045 0.002452 0.002952 0.003625 0.004527 0.005723 0.007484
2025-08-24 0.001994 0.002406 0.002918 0.003614 0.004558 0.005829 0.007733
2025-08-31 0.001939 0.002353 0.002872 0.003585 0.004564 0.005899 0.007933
2025-09-07 0.001875 0.002287 0.002808 0.003529 0.004528 0.005909 0.008043
2025-09-14 0.001819 0.002230 0.002752 0.003482 0.004503 0.005931 0.008171
2025-09-21 0.001785 0.002201 0.002733 0.003484 0.004547 0.006051 0.008452
2025-09-28 0.001714 0.002120 0.002642 0.003383 0.004440 0.005950 0.008383
2025-10-05 0.001685 0.002095 0.002626 0.003386 0.004482 0.006065 0.008661
2025-10-12 0.001674 0.002093 0.002641 0.003433 0.004587 0.006281 0.009108
2025-10-19 0.001636 0.002054 0.002603 0.003403 0.004579 0.006323 0.009275
2025-10-26 0.001603 0.002020 0.002572 0.003382 0.004583 0.006383 0.009472
2025-11-02 0.001570 0.001986 0.002540 0.003357 0.004580 0.006433 0.009655